On the first anniversary of Russia’s unprovoked attack on Ukraine, it’s timely to reflect on exactly where we are in this war and what are our strategic choices. And many commentators more qualified that I have been doing that, some more realistically than others, but here are my thoughts for whatever they are worth:
- The title of this post has become the motto for the Biden administration in terms of how long the U. S. will be supportive of Ukraine in this war. And it is an inspirational battle cry, but obviously must be backed and conditioned by a realistic strategy in order to have any meaning.
- Thanks to the dedication and courage of the Ukrainian people and American support, the war is winnable and that should be the objective. In fact, it is crucial that Russia must lose and lose decisively, because the world is watching, and this war is about the future prospects for freedom, global security, and the preservation of the rule of law.
- The role of the U. S. and its European allies must be sustained and, in fact, the delivery of military assets must be accelerated to meet the needs of Ukraine, particularly in order to successfully take back territory now occupied by Russia. The foot-dragging on this by the administration must stop. As Margaret Thatcher once said to George H. W. Bush, “this is no time to go wobbly”.
- Politically, I worry about the demagoguery of Tucker Carlson and his fellow travelers of the Republican Party’s isolationist and populist nationalism wing and its drag on the foreign policy leadership we need from people who seek national leadership posts like Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, particularly if Donald Trump excites his isolationist base on opposition to this war.
- Finally, as Daniel Henninger of The Wall Street Journal so well notes in a recent essay which I recommend, “Ukraine Fatigue is Not an Option”.
- Your thoughts?